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Analysis on Investing Strategy in Real Estate Industry of China Medium-Sized Cities

No:yb07-27   China Report Hall   [Print]   [Recommend to friend]

[Report Title]: Analysis on Investing Strategy in Real Estate Industry of China Medium-Sized Cities

[Keywords]: Analysis on Investing Strategy in Real Estate Industry of China Medium-Sized Cities

[Date]: March 2007

[Delivery]: EMAIL electronic version or EMS Speedpost

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[Report Contents]



Chapter One   Definition (Heading-Century analysis) 6
Chapter Two   Current Development(Heading-Century analysis) 8
Section one   Regional distribution 8
Section two   Economic development  9
Chapter Three Developing Features and Trend(Heading-Century analysis) 14
1、 Growth in number and developing speed 14
2、 Stable improvement in urbanization,but still underdeveloped 14
3、 City areas will be developing forcuses 15
4、 New investing direction  15
Chapter Four   Current Exploitation (Heading-Century analysis) 16
Section one   Overall operational features  16
Section two   Analysis on development  18
Chapter Five   Competition structure(Heading-Century analysis)  26
Section one   The shock of big real estate enterprises has not been seen  26
 Section two   supply and demand relationship 27
Three   Competition trend  27
Chapter Six   Price and Trend  29
Section one   Price level  29
Section two   Price change  32
Section three  Price in different regions  34
Section four   Trend  36
Chapter Seven   Analysis on Land Market (Heading-Century analysis) 37
Section one   Price and trend 37
Section two   Land cost  54
Chapter Eight   Developing trend(Heading-Century analysis)  55
Section one   Overall developing trend  55
1、 The executive force will be strengthened in 2007  55
2、 Investment will be slowed down between 2007 and 2008  55
3、 Supply in living buildings will be further adjusted, and common and economic living buildings will be increased   55
4、 Land management and control will be more strict; cost increased, which enhanced the storage land competition  55
5、 The cut down policy will not be changed in short term  55
6、 It is being close between supply and demand, and price will be key factor.   55
Section two   Developing trend analysis  56
1、 Trend and opportunities  56
2、 Growth aspects  56
3、 Brand advantageous enterprises will be major part  56
4、 Small-size houses will be mainstreamin 2007  56
5、 Foreign capital enhanced competition  56
Chapter Nine   Developing Risks (Heading-Century analysis)58
1、 Economy 58
2、 Market  58
3、 Competition  59
4、 Capital  59
5、 Policy  60
6、 Culture  60
Chapter Ten   Cases (Heading-Century analysis) 61
Section   Langfang  61
1、Development in economic society  61
2、 Exploitation of real estate enterprises  62
Section two   Bengbu  67
1、 Development in economic society 67
2、Exploitation of real estate enterprises68
Section three   Changzhou 74
1、 Development in economic society 74
2、Exploitation of real estate enterprises75
Section four   Xuzhou  77
1、Development in economic society 77
2、Exploitation of real estate enterprises 79
Catalogue of Tables
Table  1 Scope of medium-sized cities 7
Table  2 Regional distribution-one  8
Table  3 Regional distribution-two 8
Table  4 Distribution of regional production value  9
Table  5 Regional total production value 9
Table  6 Top 30 cities 10
Table  7 Distribution of GDP growth rate 10
Table  8 Population distribution 11
Table  9 Average per disposable income of people in cities and towns 11
Table  10 Average per disposable income of top 32 medium-sized cities who own 500thousand population or above 12
Table  11 Income and consumption 12
Table  12 Average per living area  13
Table  13Proportion of number scale structure of  cities in China in 2001 14
Table  14 Change of urbanization level in China   14
Table  15 Growth rate of investment from 2005 to 2006  18
Table  16 Investment return rate  18
Table  17 Investment and growth rate in Beijing from 1999 to 2006  19
Table  18 Investment and growth rate in Shanghai from 1999 to 2006  19
Table  19 Investment and growth rate in Shenzhen from 1999 to 2006 20
Table  20 Investment and growth rate in Guangzhou from 1999 to 2006 20
Table  21 Investment and growth rate in Xingtai from 1999 to 2006 21
Table  22 Investment and growth rate in Weihai from 1999 to 2006 21
Table  23 Investment and growth rate in Changzhou from 1999 to 2006 22
Table  24 Investment and growth rate in Beijing from 1999 to 2006 22
Table  25Investment and growth rate in Zhuhai from 1999 to 2006 23
Table  26 Investment and growth rate in Beijing from 1999 to 2006 23
Table  27 Investment and growth rate in Jingdezhen from 1999 to 2006 24
Table  28 Investment and growth rate in Daqing from 1999 to 2006 24
Table  29 Investment and growth rate in Panzhihua from 1999 to 2006 25
Table  30 Investment and growth rate in Zhuzhou from 1999 to 2006 25
Table  31 Average price distribution from 1999 to2006  29
Table  32 Average price distribution  29
Table  33 Dealing average price list 30
Table  34 Price growth of commerce houses in big cities from Jan. to Nov. of 2006 32
Table  35 Price growth of commerce houses in medium cities from Jan. to Nov. of 2006 32
Table  36 Monthly price index in big cities  33
Table  37Monthly price index in provincial cities 33
Table  38 Monthly price index in medium cities  33
Table  39Price change in Changjing Delta, Zhujiang Delta and Bohai area 34
Table  40Price change in Northeast and Fujian, Zhejiang and Jiangxi provinces 34
Table  41Price change in Central area in 2006 35
Table  42 Price change in West cities in 2006  35
Table  43 Statistics on average price and growth rate in nationwide commerce houses from 2000 to 2005  37
Table  44 Statistics on average price and growth rate in nationwide living houses from 2000 to 2005 37
Table  45 Comparison in nationwide average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006   38
Table  46Average land price in key regions in 2006  38
Table  47 Comparison in Southeast average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 38
Table  48 Comparison in South-Central  average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 39
Table  49 Comparison in Southwest average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 39
Table  50 Comparison in Northwest average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 39
Table  51 Comparison in North average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 40
Table  52 Comparison in Northeast average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 40
Table  53 Average land price for commerce in Dalian 41
Table  54 Average land price for Living in Dalian 41
Table  55 Average land price for commerce in Nanjing 42
Table  56 Average land price for Living in Nanjing 42
Table  57 Average land price for commerce in Wuhan43
Table  58 Average land price for Living in Wuhan 43
Table  59 Average land price for commerce in Xuzhou 44
Table  60 Average land price for Living in Xuzhou 44
Table  61 Average land price for commerce in Yantai 45
Table  62 Average land price for Living in Yantai 45
Table  63 Average land price for commerce in Suzhou 46
Table  64 Average land price for Living in Suzhou 46
Table  65 Average land price for commerce in Jiaxing  47
Table  66 Average land price for Living in Jiaxing 47
Table  67 Average land price for commerce in Zhuahai 48
Table  68 Average land price for Living in Zhuahai 48
Table  69 Average land price for commerce in Jinzhou 49
Table  70 Average land price for Living in Jinzhou 49
Table  71 Average land price for commerce in Huhehaote 50
Table  72 Average land price for Living in Huhehaote 50
Table  73 Average land price for commerce in Nanning 51
Table  74 Average land price for Living in Nanning 51
Table  75 Average land price for commerce in Xining 52
Table  76 Average land price for Living in Xining 52
Table  77 Average land price for commerce in Ezhou 53
Table  78 Average land price for Living in Ezhou 53
Table  79 Examples of land exploitation cost in big cities  54
Table  80 Examples of land exploitation cost in medium cities 54
Table  81Production value in Langfang from 2001 to 2005  Unit: 100mRMB  61
Table  82 Citizen‘s income in Langfang from 2001 to 2005  Unit: 100mRMB     62
Table  83 Basic survey list  62
Table  84 Basic survey list  63
Table  85Main enterprises  64
Table  86Some brief introductions of Langfang in 2006 65
Table  87 Main economic indexes of Bengbu in 2005  67
Table  88 Land price list   Unit: RMB/per m2 68
Table  89Scope of land using level-one  69
Table  90Scope of land using level-two 69
Table  91Scope of land using level-three 70
Table  92Scope of land using level-four  70
Table  93 Dealing price trend of commercial houses from 2002 to 2006 71
Table  94 Main enterprises list  71
Table  95Building sale list in Bengshan District 71
Table  96 Building sale list in Longzihu District 72
Table  97 Structure of demand 73
Table  98Structure of puchase affecting factors  73
Table  99Changzhou  74
Table  100 Partial sale building in 2006  76
Table  101 Selling area in the third and fourth seasons of 2005  9
Table  102 Comparison list in commercial houses selling area in the fourth season of 2004 and 2005  79
Table  103 Commercial houses dealing in the third and fourth seasons of 2005 80
Table  104 Comparison of dealing sum  80
Table  105Comparison of dealing area 81
Table  106 Comparison of buyers 81
Table  107 Dealings 82
Table  108 Key real estate enterprises 82
Table  109 Hot selling houses  83
Table  110Overall plan 85

Chapter One   Definition of Medium Cities in China 

1、World standard: the population is between 500 thousand and 1million。
World Bank‘s classification criteria for city is suitable to China's actual situation : 10 million more than the population of the largest cities ,500-1000 population of the city, 100-500 million people in larger cities ,50-100 million people in medium-size cities, 500,000 people Following is a small city.

2、Past standards: Population was between 200 and 500 thousand。
China, in accordance with the urban non-agricultural population of the town is divided into four, etc. : population of less than 200,000 for the small cities, 200,000-500,000 population of medium-sized cities, with populations over 500,000 for the city, again with a population of 1 million over the city as a very large city. China's existing urban scale is classified caliber of the planned economy under the conditions severely limited understanding of the results. It now appears that the criteria for the classification of this is really low, has lagged far behind the development of the times。

3、Classified by below conditions:
1, Besides Beijing,Shanghai,Tianjing and Chongqing
2, Besides developed cities in economy
3, Besides provincial capitals 
4, Besides the cities with non-farmer population less than 250thousand;and Dongguan, Tangshan, Wuxi and Ningbo are not on the list;Fuzhou,Nanning and Xining are involved。 Finally there are 173 cities。


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